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Ukraine and the Danger of Human Miscalculation
We must guard against the danger of human miscalculation in anticipating how each side may react to action by the other.
Russian President Vladimir Putin’s threat to invade Ukraine and President Joe Biden’s threat to sanction Russia in response cast into high relief the danger of human miscalculation in causing a war neither side wants.
- Dell Dailey and James P. Farwell
- The National Interest
Each side may miscalculate what the other may do, and each other’s options are asymmetrical to the other’s.
That Putin has leaned so far forward makes it hard for him to back down without anything to show for his saber-rattling.
Don’t expect an invasion to end with Western sanctions.
Thus, a key…