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A US presidential race that defies polls and our idea of America

Alexander Brown writes on a dramatic 24 hours in world politics and what happens next with the US election as the world holds its breath

Everyone predicted a tight race, and if they didn’t say so they were pretending.

  • Alexander Brown
  • The Scotsman

Top forecasters fivethirtyeight had Mr Biden winning in 89 out of 100 scenarios, with success for the incumbent in ten of 100.

The idea of a landslide for Joe Biden was always fanciful, and at this point polls are as reliable as a UK Government policy announcement.

But nobody suggested it would be as close as this, a situation where both US president Donald Trump and…

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