If the United States falls into recession in the next year or two, the US Federal Reserve may have very little room to loosen policy, yet it is not taking any steps to cover that risk.
- J. Bradford DeLong
- Project Syndicate
Unless the Fed rectifies this soon, the US – and the world – may well face much bigger problems later.
The chances that the North Atlantic as a whole will be in recession a year from now have fallen to about one in four.
German growth may well be positive this quarter, while China could rebound, too.
And although US growth is definitely slowing – to 1% or…